{smcl}
{com}{sf}{ul off}{txt}{.-}
      name:  {res}<unnamed>
       {txt}log:  {res}C:\Users\guzonyi\Desktop\ISQ Final\UzonyiDemir_ExcludedGroupsGenocide.smcl
  {txt}log type:  {res}smcl
 {txt}opened on:  {res}20 Jul 2020, 14:31:23

{com}. do "C:\Users\guzonyi\AppData\Local\Temp\STD00000000.tmp"
{txt}
{com}. tsset ccode year
{res}{txt}{col 8}panel variable:  {res}ccode (unbalanced)
{txt}{col 9}time variable:  {res}{col 25}year, 1946 to 2017
{txt}{col 17}delta:  {res}1 unit
{txt}
{com}. 
. *********Table 1: Descriptive Stats
. sum logoutgroups  democracy  minority  exclusionaryid postcoldwar loggdppc totalwars yrs if UCDPcivilwarongoing ==1 

{txt}    Variable {c |}        Obs        Mean    Std. Dev.       Min        Max
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 57}
logoutgroups {c |}{res}      1,522    1.327917    .7431041          0   4.025352
{txt}{space 3}democracy {c |}{res}      1,522    .3462549     .475932          0          1
{txt}minoritygovt {c |}{res}      1,522    .1695138    .3753284          0          1
{txt}exclusiona~d {c |}{res}      1,522     .173456    .3787654          0          1
{txt}{space 1}postcoldwar {c |}{res}      1,522    .5091984    .5000797          0          1
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 57}
{space 4}loggdppc {c |}{res}      1,400    8.036951    1.050326   5.855072   10.87833
{txt}{space 3}totalwars {c |}{res}      1,522     1.36728    .9243903          1          7
{txt}{space 9}yrs {c |}{res}      1,522    26.74376    19.29964          0         71
{txt}
{com}. collin logoutgroups  democracy  minority  exclusionaryid postcoldwar loggdppc totalwars yrs if UCDPcivilwarongoing ==1 
{txt}(obs=1,400)

  Collinearity Diagnostics

                        SQRT                   R-
  Variable      VIF     VIF    Tolerance    Squared
----------------------------------------------------
{res}logoutgroups      1.20    1.10    0.8328      0.1672
 democracy      1.41    1.19    0.7087      0.2913
minoritygovt      1.23    1.11    0.8137      0.1863
exclusionaryid      1.36    1.17    0.7349      0.2651
postcoldwar      1.30    1.14    0.7686      0.2314
  loggdppc      1.49    1.22    0.6689      0.3311
 totalwars      1.27    1.13    0.7855      0.2145
       yrs      1.72    1.31    0.5806      0.4194
{txt}----------------------------------------------------
  Mean VIF{res}      1.37

{txt}                           Cond
        Eigenval          Index
---------------------------------
{res}    1     5.6585          1.0000
    2     1.3152          2.0742
    3     0.5959          3.0814
    4     0.5109          3.3280
    5     0.4322          3.6183
    6     0.1916          5.4347
    7     0.1620          5.9099
    8     0.1277          6.6579
    9     0.0059         30.8862
{txt}---------------------------------
 Condition Number{res}        30.8862 
{txt} Eigenvalues & Cond Index computed from scaled raw sscp (w/ intercept)
 Det(correlation matrix){res}    0.2776
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. *********Table 2: Main Analysis
. *Model 1: Base
. logit gponset c.l.logoutgroups  yrs yrs2 yrs3 if UCDPcivilwarongoing ==1  , cluster(ccode)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-143.26655}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-135.52382}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-134.00169}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-133.84198}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-133.83376}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-133.83375}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-133.83375}  
{res}
{txt}Logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}     1,506
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}4{txt}){col 67}= {res}     14.37
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0062
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-133.83375{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.0658

{txt}{ralign 78:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:105} clusters in ccode)}
{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}     gponset{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
logoutgroups {c |}
{space 9}L1. {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4707952{col 26}{space 2} .2287038{col 37}{space 1}    2.06{col 46}{space 3}0.040{col 54}{space 4} .0225439{col 67}{space 3} .9190465
{txt}{space 12} {c |}
{space 9}yrs {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .214031{col 26}{space 2} .0801247{col 37}{space 1}    2.67{col 46}{space 3}0.008{col 54}{space 4} .0569895{col 67}{space 3} .3710724
{txt}{space 8}yrs2 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0056984{col 26}{space 2} .0027914{col 37}{space 1}   -2.04{col 46}{space 3}0.041{col 54}{space 4}-.0111695{col 67}{space 3}-.0002273
{txt}{space 8}yrs3 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0000291{col 26}{space 2} .0000334{col 37}{space 1}    0.87{col 46}{space 3}0.383{col 54}{space 4}-.0000363{col 67}{space 3} .0000945
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-6.133646{col 26}{space 2}  .875234{col 37}{space 1}   -7.01{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-7.849073{col 67}{space 3}-4.418219
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. set seed 123456789
{txt}
{com}. estsimp logit gponset l.logoutgroups  yrs yrs2 yrs3 if UCDPcivilwarongoing ==1  , cluster(ccode)

{txt}Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = {res}-143.26655
{txt}Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = {res}-135.52382
{txt}Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = {res}-134.09897
{txt}Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = {res}-133.87769
{txt}Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = {res}-133.83609
{txt}Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = {res}-133.83376
{txt}Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = {res}-133.83375

{txt}Logistic regression                               Number of obs   = {res}      1506
                                                  {txt}Wald chi2({res}4{txt})    = {res}     14.37
                                                  {txt}Prob > chi2     = {res}    0.0062
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-133.83375                 {txt}Pseudo R2       = {res}    0.0658

                                {txt}(Std. Err. adjusted for {res}105{txt} clusters in ccode)
{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 64}
             {c |}               Robust
     gponset {c |}      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 64}
logoutgroups {c |}
         L1. {c |}  {res} .4707952   .2287037     2.06   0.040     .0225443    .9190461
         {txt}yrs {c |}  {res}  .214031   .0801247     2.67   0.008     .0569895    .3710724
        {txt}yrs2 {c |}  {res}-.0056984   .0027914    -2.04   0.041    -.0111695   -.0002274
        {txt}yrs3 {c |}  {res} .0000291   .0000334     0.87   0.383    -.0000363    .0000945
       {txt}_cons {c |}  {res}-6.133646   .8752354    -7.01   0.000    -7.849076   -4.418216
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 64}

{res}Simulating main parameters.  Please wait....
% of simulations completed: 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 

Number of simulations  : 1000
Names of new variables : b1 b2 b3 b4 b5
{txt}
{com}. setx mean
{txt}
{com}. simqi, fd(pr) changex(l.logoutgroups min max)

{res}First Difference: l.logoutgroups min max

{txt}      Quantity of Interest |     Mean       Std. Err.    [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------+--------------------------------------------------
          dPr(gponset = 0) |  {res}-.0406134     .0344417    -.1230361    .0001583
          {txt}dPr(gponset = 1) |  {res} .0406134     .0344417    -.0001584    .1230361
{txt}
{com}. drop b1 b2 b3 b4 b5 
{txt}
{com}. 
. *Model 2: With controls
. logit gponset c.l.logoutgroups  l.democracy  l.minority  l.exclusionaryid postcoldwar l.loggdppc l.totalwars yrs yrs2 yrs3 if UCDPcivilwarongoing ==1  , cluster(ccode)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-137.55617}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -127.4897}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-116.60209}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-116.38357}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-116.37177}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-116.37173}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-116.37173}  
{res}
{txt}Logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}     1,415
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}10{txt}){col 67}= {res}     33.20
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0003
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-116.37173{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1540

{txt}{ralign 80:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:97} clusters in ccode)}
{hline 15}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 16}{c |}{col 28}    Robust
{col 1}       gponset{col 16}{c |}      Coef.{col 28}   Std. Err.{col 40}      z{col 48}   P>|z|{col 56}     [95% Con{col 69}f. Interval]
{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 2}logoutgroups {c |}
{space 11}L1. {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .6607518{col 28}{space 2} .2559972{col 39}{space 1}    2.58{col 48}{space 3}0.010{col 56}{space 4} .1590065{col 69}{space 3} 1.162497
{txt}{space 14} {c |}
{space 5}democracy {c |}
{space 11}L1. {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.2701646{col 28}{space 2} .6156151{col 39}{space 1}   -0.44{col 48}{space 3}0.661{col 56}{space 4}-1.476748{col 69}{space 3} .9364188
{txt}{space 14} {c |}
{space 2}minoritygovt {c |}
{space 11}L1. {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 1.075091{col 28}{space 2} .4976249{col 39}{space 1}    2.16{col 48}{space 3}0.031{col 56}{space 4} .0997636{col 69}{space 3} 2.050418
{txt}{space 14} {c |}
exclusionaryid {c |}
{space 11}L1. {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .2216403{col 28}{space 2} .5433641{col 39}{space 1}    0.41{col 48}{space 3}0.683{col 56}{space 4}-.8433337{col 69}{space 3} 1.286614
{txt}{space 14} {c |}
{space 3}postcoldwar {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-1.635195{col 28}{space 2}  .585228{col 39}{space 1}   -2.79{col 48}{space 3}0.005{col 56}{space 4}-2.782221{col 69}{space 3}-.4881697
{txt}{space 14} {c |}
{space 6}loggdppc {c |}
{space 11}L1. {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.3663352{col 28}{space 2} .2382972{col 39}{space 1}   -1.54{col 48}{space 3}0.124{col 56}{space 4}-.8333891{col 69}{space 3} .1007187
{txt}{space 14} {c |}
{space 5}totalwars {c |}
{space 11}L1. {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.4574528{col 28}{space 2} .2806449{col 39}{space 1}   -1.63{col 48}{space 3}0.103{col 56}{space 4}-1.007507{col 69}{space 3} .0926011
{txt}{space 14} {c |}
{space 11}yrs {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .2428427{col 28}{space 2} .0793618{col 39}{space 1}    3.06{col 48}{space 3}0.002{col 56}{space 4} .0872964{col 69}{space 3} .3983889
{txt}{space 10}yrs2 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.0060081{col 28}{space 2} .0024572{col 39}{space 1}   -2.45{col 48}{space 3}0.014{col 56}{space 4} -.010824{col 69}{space 3}-.0011921
{txt}{space 10}yrs3 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .0000381{col 28}{space 2} .0000271{col 39}{space 1}    1.41{col 48}{space 3}0.159{col 56}{space 4} -.000015{col 69}{space 3} .0000911
{txt}{space 9}_cons {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} -3.53787{col 28}{space 2} 1.687913{col 39}{space 1}   -2.10{col 48}{space 3}0.036{col 56}{space 4}-6.846118{col 69}{space 3}-.2296224
{txt}{hline 15}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. set seed 123456789
{txt}
{com}. estsimp logit gponset l.logoutgroups  l.democracy  l.minority  l.exclusionaryid postcoldwar l.loggdppc l.totalwars yrs yrs2 yrs3 if UCDPcivilwarongoing ==1  , cluster(ccode)

{txt}Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = {res}-137.55617
{txt}Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = {res} -127.4897
{txt}Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = {res}-117.36988
{txt}Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = {res}-116.42781
{txt}Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = {res}-116.37428
{txt}Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = {res}-116.37175
{txt}Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = {res}-116.37173

{txt}Logistic regression                               Number of obs   = {res}      1415
                                                  {txt}Wald chi2({res}10{txt})   = {res}     33.20
                                                  {txt}Prob > chi2     = {res}    0.0003
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-116.37173                 {txt}Pseudo R2       = {res}    0.1540

                                 {txt}(Std. Err. adjusted for {res}97{txt} clusters in ccode)
{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 64}
             {c |}               Robust
     gponset {c |}      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 64}
logoutgroups {c |}
         L1. {c |}  {res} .6607518   .2559964     2.58   0.010      .159008    1.162496
   {txt}democracy {c |}
         L1. {c |}  {res}-.2701646   .6156146    -0.44   0.661    -1.476747    .9364178
{txt}minoritygovt {c |}
         L1. {c |}  {res} 1.075091   .4976247     2.16   0.031      .099764    2.050417
{txt}exclusiona~d {c |}
         L1. {c |}  {res} .2216403   .5433634     0.41   0.683    -.8433324    1.286613
 {txt}postcoldwar {c |}  {res}-1.635195   .5852279    -2.79   0.005    -2.782221   -.4881698
    {txt}loggdppc {c |}
         L1. {c |}  {res}-.3663352   .2382966    -1.54   0.124     -.833388    .1007176
   {txt}totalwars {c |}
         L1. {c |}  {res}-.4574528   .2806448    -1.63   0.103    -1.007506    .0926009
         {txt}yrs {c |}  {res} .2428427   .0793624     3.06   0.002     .0872953    .3983901
        {txt}yrs2 {c |}  {res}-.0060081   .0024571    -2.45   0.014     -.010824   -.0011922
        {txt}yrs3 {c |}  {res} .0000381   .0000271     1.41   0.159     -.000015    .0000911
       {txt}_cons {c |}  {res} -3.53787    1.68791    -2.10   0.036    -6.846113   -.2296271
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 64}

{res}Simulating main parameters.  Please wait....
% of simulations completed: 9% 18% 27% 36% 45% 54% 63% 72% 81% 90% 100% 

Number of simulations  : 1000
Names of new variables : b1 b2 b3 b4 b5 b6 b7 b8 b9 b10 b11
{txt}
{com}. setx mean
{txt}
{com}. simqi, fd(pr) changex(l.logoutgroups min max)

{res}First Difference: l.logoutgroups min max

{txt}      Quantity of Interest |     Mean       Std. Err.    [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------+--------------------------------------------------
          dPr(gponset = 0) |  {res}-.0495944     .0380091    -.1440182   -.0053167
          {txt}dPr(gponset = 1) |  {res} .0495944     .0380091     .0053167    .1440182
{txt}
{com}. drop b1 b2 b3 b4 b5 b6 b7 b8 b9 b10 b11
{txt}
{com}. 
. *Model 3: ccode jackknife
. logit gponset c.l.logoutgroups  l.democracy  l.minority  l.exclusionaryid postcoldwar l.loggdppc l.totalwars yrs yrs2 yrs3 if UCDPcivilwarongoing ==1  , cluster(ccode) vce(jackknife)
{txt}(running logit on estimation sample)

Jackknife replications ({res}97{txt})
{hline 4}{c +}{hline 3} 1 {hline 3}{c +}{hline 3} 2 {hline 3}{c +}{hline 3} 3 {hline 3}{c +}{hline 3} 4 {hline 3}{c +}{hline 3} 5 
..................................................    50
...............................................
{res}
{txt}Logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}     1,415
{txt}{col 49}Replications{col 67}= {res}        97
{txt}{col 49}F({res}  10{txt},{res}     96{txt}){col 67}= {res}      2.68
{txt}{col 49}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0062
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-116.37173{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1540

{txt}{ralign 80:(Replications based on {res:97} clusters in ccode)}
{hline 15}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 16}{c |}{col 28}   Jackknife
{col 1}       gponset{col 16}{c |}      Coef.{col 28}   Std. Err.{col 40}      t{col 48}   P>|t|{col 56}     [95% Con{col 69}f. Interval]
{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 2}logoutgroups {c |}
{space 11}L1. {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .6607518{col 28}{space 2} .3077405{col 39}{space 1}    2.15{col 48}{space 3}0.034{col 56}{space 4} .0498918{col 69}{space 3} 1.271612
{txt}{space 14} {c |}
{space 5}democracy {c |}
{space 11}L1. {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.2701646{col 28}{space 2} .7103206{col 39}{space 1}   -0.38{col 48}{space 3}0.705{col 56}{space 4} -1.68014{col 69}{space 3} 1.139811
{txt}{space 14} {c |}
{space 2}minoritygovt {c |}
{space 11}L1. {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 1.075091{col 28}{space 2} .6242408{col 39}{space 1}    1.72{col 48}{space 3}0.088{col 56}{space 4}-.1640176{col 69}{space 3} 2.314199
{txt}{space 14} {c |}
exclusionaryid {c |}
{space 11}L1. {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .2216403{col 28}{space 2}   .64116{col 39}{space 1}    0.35{col 48}{space 3}0.730{col 56}{space 4}-1.051052{col 69}{space 3} 1.494333
{txt}{space 14} {c |}
{space 3}postcoldwar {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-1.635195{col 28}{space 2}  .675276{col 39}{space 1}   -2.42{col 48}{space 3}0.017{col 56}{space 4}-2.975608{col 69}{space 3}-.2947831
{txt}{space 14} {c |}
{space 6}loggdppc {c |}
{space 11}L1. {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.3663352{col 28}{space 2} .2879861{col 39}{space 1}   -1.27{col 48}{space 3}0.206{col 56}{space 4} -.937983{col 69}{space 3} .2053126
{txt}{space 14} {c |}
{space 5}totalwars {c |}
{space 11}L1. {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.4574528{col 28}{space 2} .4064942{col 39}{space 1}   -1.13{col 48}{space 3}0.263{col 56}{space 4}-1.264337{col 69}{space 3} .3494318
{txt}{space 14} {c |}
{space 11}yrs {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .2428427{col 28}{space 2} .1431354{col 39}{space 1}    1.70{col 48}{space 3}0.093{col 56}{space 4}-.0412788{col 69}{space 3} .5269641
{txt}{space 10}yrs2 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.0060081{col 28}{space 2}  .007513{col 39}{space 1}   -0.80{col 48}{space 3}0.426{col 56}{space 4}-.0209213{col 69}{space 3} .0089051
{txt}{space 10}yrs3 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .0000381{col 28}{space 2} .0001236{col 39}{space 1}    0.31{col 48}{space 3}0.759{col 56}{space 4}-.0002073{col 69}{space 3} .0002834
{txt}{space 9}_cons {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} -3.53787{col 28}{space 2}  2.16237{col 39}{space 1}   -1.64{col 48}{space 3}0.105{col 56}{space 4} -7.83014{col 69}{space 3} .7543998
{txt}{hline 15}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. set seed 123456789
{txt}
{com}. estsimp logit gponset l.logoutgroups  l.democracy  l.minority  l.exclusionaryid postcoldwar l.loggdppc l.totalwars yrs yrs2 yrs3 if UCDPcivilwarongoing ==1  , cluster(ccode) vce(jackknife)
{txt}(running logit_10 on estimation sample)

Jackknife replications ({res}97{txt})
{hline 4}{c +}{hline 3} 1 {hline 3}{c +}{hline 3} 2 {hline 3}{c +}{hline 3} 3 {hline 3}{c +}{hline 3} 4 {hline 3}{c +}{hline 3} 5 
..................................................    50
...............................................
{res}
{txt}Logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}     1,415
{txt}{col 49}Replications{col 67}= {res}        97
{txt}{col 49}F({res}  10{txt},{res}     96{txt}){col 67}= {res}      2.68
{txt}{col 49}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0062
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-116.37173{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1540

{txt}{ralign 80:(Replications based on {res:97} clusters in ccode)}
{hline 15}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 16}{c |}{col 28}   Jackknife
{col 1}       gponset{col 16}{c |}      Coef.{col 28}   Std. Err.{col 40}      t{col 48}   P>|t|{col 56}     [95% Con{col 69}f. Interval]
{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 2}logoutgroups {c |}
{space 11}L1. {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .6607518{col 28}{space 2} .3077405{col 39}{space 1}    2.15{col 48}{space 3}0.034{col 56}{space 4} .0498918{col 69}{space 3} 1.271612
{txt}{space 14} {c |}
{space 5}democracy {c |}
{space 11}L1. {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.2701646{col 28}{space 2} .7103206{col 39}{space 1}   -0.38{col 48}{space 3}0.705{col 56}{space 4} -1.68014{col 69}{space 3} 1.139811
{txt}{space 14} {c |}
{space 2}minoritygovt {c |}
{space 11}L1. {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 1.075091{col 28}{space 2} .6242408{col 39}{space 1}    1.72{col 48}{space 3}0.088{col 56}{space 4}-.1640176{col 69}{space 3} 2.314199
{txt}{space 14} {c |}
exclusionaryid {c |}
{space 11}L1. {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .2216403{col 28}{space 2}   .64116{col 39}{space 1}    0.35{col 48}{space 3}0.730{col 56}{space 4}-1.051052{col 69}{space 3} 1.494333
{txt}{space 14} {c |}
{space 3}postcoldwar {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-1.635195{col 28}{space 2}  .675276{col 39}{space 1}   -2.42{col 48}{space 3}0.017{col 56}{space 4}-2.975608{col 69}{space 3}-.2947831
{txt}{space 14} {c |}
{space 6}loggdppc {c |}
{space 11}L1. {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.3663352{col 28}{space 2} .2879861{col 39}{space 1}   -1.27{col 48}{space 3}0.206{col 56}{space 4} -.937983{col 69}{space 3} .2053126
{txt}{space 14} {c |}
{space 5}totalwars {c |}
{space 11}L1. {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.4574528{col 28}{space 2} .4064942{col 39}{space 1}   -1.13{col 48}{space 3}0.263{col 56}{space 4}-1.264337{col 69}{space 3} .3494318
{txt}{space 14} {c |}
{space 11}yrs {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .2428427{col 28}{space 2} .1431354{col 39}{space 1}    1.70{col 48}{space 3}0.093{col 56}{space 4}-.0412788{col 69}{space 3} .5269641
{txt}{space 10}yrs2 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.0060081{col 28}{space 2}  .007513{col 39}{space 1}   -0.80{col 48}{space 3}0.426{col 56}{space 4}-.0209213{col 69}{space 3} .0089051
{txt}{space 10}yrs3 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .0000381{col 28}{space 2} .0001236{col 39}{space 1}    0.31{col 48}{space 3}0.759{col 56}{space 4}-.0002073{col 69}{space 3} .0002834
{txt}{space 9}_cons {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} -3.53787{col 28}{space 2}  2.16237{col 39}{space 1}   -1.64{col 48}{space 3}0.105{col 56}{space 4} -7.83014{col 69}{space 3} .7543998
{txt}{hline 15}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{res}Simulating main parameters.  Please wait....
% of simulations completed: 9% 18% 27% 36% 45% 54% 63% 72% 81% 90% 100% 

Number of simulations  : 1000
Names of new variables : b1 b2 b3 b4 b5 b6 b7 b8 b9 b10 b11
{txt}
{com}. setx mean
{txt}
{com}. simqi, fd(pr) changex(l.logoutgroups min max)

{res}First Difference: l.logoutgroups min max

{txt}      Quantity of Interest |     Mean       Std. Err.    [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------+--------------------------------------------------
          dPr(gponset = 0) |  {res}-.0860325     .1209157    -.4273956   -.0004619
          {txt}dPr(gponset = 1) |  {res} .0860325     .1209157     .0004619    .4273956
{txt}
{com}. drop b1 b2 b3 b4 b5 b6 b7 b8 b9 b10 b11
{txt}
{com}. 
. *Model 4: Rare events
. gen laglogoutgroups=l.logoutgroups 
{txt}(181 missing values generated)

{com}. gen lagdemocracy=l.democracy
{txt}(181 missing values generated)

{com}. gen lagminority=l.minority
{txt}(181 missing values generated)

{com}. gen lagexclusionaryid=l.exclusionaryid
{txt}(181 missing values generated)

{com}. gen lagloggdppc=l.loggdppc
{txt}(1,343 missing values generated)

{com}. gen lagtotalwars=l.totalwars
{txt}(181 missing values generated)

{com}. relogit gponset laglogoutgroups  lagdemocracy  lagminority  lagexclusionaryid postcoldwar lagloggdppc lagtotalwars yrs yrs2 yrs3 if UCDPcivilwarongoing ==1  , cluster(ccode)
{txt}(1,343 missing values generated)


Corrected logit estimates                             Number of obs ={res}     1415

{txt}{hline 18}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 19}{c |}{col 31}    Robust
{col 1}          gponset{col 19}{c |}      Coef.{col 31}   Std. Err.{col 43}      z{col 51}   P>|z|{col 59}     [95% Con{col 72}f. Interval]
{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 2}laglogoutgroups {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .6716591{col 31}{space 2} .2540217{col 42}{space 1}    2.64{col 51}{space 3}0.008{col 59}{space 4} .1737857{col 72}{space 3} 1.169532
{txt}{space 5}lagdemocracy {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.2544529{col 31}{space 2} .6108658{col 42}{space 1}   -0.42{col 51}{space 3}0.677{col 59}{space 4}-1.451728{col 72}{space 3}  .942822
{txt}{space 6}lagminority {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}  1.03036{col 31}{space 2} .4937861{col 42}{space 1}    2.09{col 51}{space 3}0.037{col 59}{space 4} .0625567{col 72}{space 3} 1.998163
{txt}lagexclusionaryid {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .2077852{col 31}{space 2} .5391719{col 42}{space 1}    0.39{col 51}{space 3}0.700{col 59}{space 4}-.8489724{col 72}{space 3} 1.264543
{txt}{space 6}postcoldwar {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-1.553344{col 31}{space 2} .5807135{col 42}{space 1}   -2.67{col 51}{space 3}0.007{col 59}{space 4}-2.691521{col 72}{space 3}-.4151661
{txt}{space 6}lagloggdppc {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.3370001{col 31}{space 2} .2364584{col 42}{space 1}   -1.43{col 51}{space 3}0.154{col 59}{space 4}  -.80045{col 72}{space 3} .1264499
{txt}{space 5}lagtotalwars {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.4086874{col 31}{space 2} .2784799{col 42}{space 1}   -1.47{col 51}{space 3}0.142{col 59}{space 4}-.9544981{col 72}{space 3} .1371232
{txt}{space 14}yrs {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .2718747{col 31}{space 2} .0787502{col 42}{space 1}    3.45{col 51}{space 3}0.001{col 59}{space 4} .1175272{col 72}{space 3} .4262222
{txt}{space 13}yrs2 {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0082115{col 31}{space 2} .0024382{col 42}{space 1}   -3.37{col 51}{space 3}0.001{col 59}{space 4}-.0129903{col 72}{space 3}-.0034328
{txt}{space 13}yrs3 {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0000759{col 31}{space 2} .0000268{col 42}{space 1}    2.83{col 51}{space 3}0.005{col 59}{space 4} .0000233{col 72}{space 3} .0001285
{txt}{space 12}_cons {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-3.673266{col 31}{space 2}  1.67489{col 42}{space 1}   -2.19{col 51}{space 3}0.028{col 59}{space 4} -6.95599{col 72}{space 3}-.3905426
{txt}{hline 18}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. *Model 5: Five year avg
. logit gponset c.l.logoutgroups_avg5  l.democracy  l.minority  l.exclusionaryid postcoldwar l.loggdppc l.totalwars yrs yrs2 yrs3 if UCDPcivilwarongoing ==1  , cluster(ccode)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-136.35142}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-126.53854}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -116.2681}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-116.06451}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-116.05252}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-116.05249}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-116.05249}  
{res}
{txt}Logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}     1,356
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}10{txt}){col 67}= {res}     31.38
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0005
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-116.05249{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1489

{txt}{ralign 83:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:95} clusters in ccode)}
{hline 18}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 19}{c |}{col 31}    Robust
{col 1}          gponset{col 19}{c |}      Coef.{col 31}   Std. Err.{col 43}      z{col 51}   P>|z|{col 59}     [95% Con{col 72}f. Interval]
{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
logoutgroups_avg5 {c |}
{space 14}L1. {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .6772014{col 31}{space 2} .2540144{col 42}{space 1}    2.67{col 51}{space 3}0.008{col 59}{space 4} .1793424{col 72}{space 3}  1.17506
{txt}{space 17} {c |}
{space 8}democracy {c |}
{space 14}L1. {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} -.273955{col 31}{space 2} .6167591{col 42}{space 1}   -0.44{col 51}{space 3}0.657{col 59}{space 4}-1.482781{col 72}{space 3} .9348707
{txt}{space 17} {c |}
{space 5}minoritygovt {c |}
{space 14}L1. {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 1.074055{col 31}{space 2} .5006298{col 42}{space 1}    2.15{col 51}{space 3}0.032{col 59}{space 4} .0928381{col 72}{space 3} 2.055271
{txt}{space 17} {c |}
{space 3}exclusionaryid {c |}
{space 14}L1. {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}  .203306{col 31}{space 2} .5399673{col 42}{space 1}    0.38{col 51}{space 3}0.707{col 59}{space 4}-.8550105{col 72}{space 3} 1.261622
{txt}{space 17} {c |}
{space 6}postcoldwar {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-1.613913{col 31}{space 2} .5857137{col 42}{space 1}   -2.76{col 51}{space 3}0.006{col 59}{space 4}-2.761891{col 72}{space 3}-.4659356
{txt}{space 17} {c |}
{space 9}loggdppc {c |}
{space 14}L1. {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.3596915{col 31}{space 2} .2390039{col 42}{space 1}   -1.50{col 51}{space 3}0.132{col 59}{space 4}-.8281305{col 72}{space 3} .1087474
{txt}{space 17} {c |}
{space 8}totalwars {c |}
{space 14}L1. {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.4598005{col 31}{space 2}  .279945{col 42}{space 1}   -1.64{col 51}{space 3}0.100{col 59}{space 4}-1.008483{col 72}{space 3} .0888817
{txt}{space 17} {c |}
{space 14}yrs {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .2325761{col 31}{space 2} .0838058{col 42}{space 1}    2.78{col 51}{space 3}0.006{col 59}{space 4} .0683197{col 72}{space 3} .3968325
{txt}{space 13}yrs2 {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0056822{col 31}{space 2}  .002597{col 42}{space 1}   -2.19{col 51}{space 3}0.029{col 59}{space 4}-.0107723{col 72}{space 3}-.0005921
{txt}{space 13}yrs3 {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0000351{col 31}{space 2} .0000288{col 42}{space 1}    1.22{col 51}{space 3}0.224{col 59}{space 4}-.0000215{col 72}{space 3} .0000916
{txt}{space 12}_cons {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-3.512223{col 31}{space 2} 1.719011{col 42}{space 1}   -2.04{col 51}{space 3}0.041{col 59}{space 4}-6.881424{col 72}{space 3}-.1430233
{txt}{hline 18}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. set seed 123456789
{txt}
{com}. estsimp logit gponset l.logoutgroups_avg5  l.democracy  l.minority  l.exclusionaryid postcoldwar l.loggdppc l.totalwars yrs yrs2 yrs3 if UCDPcivilwarongoing ==1  , cluster(ccode)

{txt}Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = {res}-136.35142
{txt}Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = {res}-126.53854
{txt}Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = {res}-116.96751
{txt}Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = {res}-116.10654
{txt}Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = {res}-116.05507
{txt}Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = {res} -116.0525
{txt}Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = {res}-116.05249

{txt}Logistic regression                               Number of obs   = {res}      1356
                                                  {txt}Wald chi2({res}10{txt})   = {res}     31.38
                                                  {txt}Prob > chi2     = {res}    0.0005
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-116.05249                 {txt}Pseudo R2       = {res}    0.1489

                                 {txt}(Std. Err. adjusted for {res}95{txt} clusters in ccode)
{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 64}
             {c |}               Robust
     gponset {c |}      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 64}
logoutgrou~5 {c |}
         L1. {c |}  {res} .6772014   .2540136     2.67   0.008     .1793439    1.175059
   {txt}democracy {c |}
         L1. {c |}  {res} -.273955   .6167586    -0.44   0.657     -1.48278    .9348696
{txt}minoritygovt {c |}
         L1. {c |}  {res} 1.074055   .5006296     2.15   0.032     .0928385    2.055271
{txt}exclusiona~d {c |}
         L1. {c |}  {res}  .203306   .5399667     0.38   0.707    -.8550093    1.261621
 {txt}postcoldwar {c |}  {res}-1.613913   .5857136    -2.76   0.006    -2.761891   -.4659357
    {txt}loggdppc {c |}
         L1. {c |}  {res}-.3596915   .2390033    -1.50   0.132    -.8281294    .1087464
   {txt}totalwars {c |}
         L1. {c |}  {res}-.4598005   .2799449    -1.64   0.100    -1.008482    .0888815
         {txt}yrs {c |}  {res} .2325761   .0838063     2.78   0.006     .0683188    .3968334
        {txt}yrs2 {c |}  {res}-.0056822    .002597    -2.19   0.029    -.0107722   -.0005921
        {txt}yrs3 {c |}  {res} .0000351   .0000288     1.22   0.224    -.0000215    .0000916
       {txt}_cons {c |}  {res}-3.512223   1.719009    -2.04   0.041    -6.881419   -.1430276
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 64}

{res}Simulating main parameters.  Please wait....
% of simulations completed: 9% 18% 27% 36% 45% 54% 63% 72% 81% 90% 100% 

Number of simulations  : 1000
Names of new variables : b1 b2 b3 b4 b5 b6 b7 b8 b9 b10 b11
{txt}
{com}. setx mean
{txt}
{com}. simqi, fd(pr) changex(l.logoutgroups_avg5 min max)

{res}First Difference: l.logoutgroups_avg5 min max

{txt}      Quantity of Interest |     Mean       Std. Err.    [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------+--------------------------------------------------
          dPr(gponset = 0) |  {res}-.0556365     .0413221    -.1606529   -.0066206
          {txt}dPr(gponset = 1) |  {res} .0556365     .0413221     .0066206    .1606529
{txt}
{com}. drop b1 b2 b3 b4 b5 b6 b7 b8 b9 b10 b11
{txt}
{com}. 
. *Model 6: using unlogged
. logit gponset c.l.outgroups  l.democracy  l.minority  l.exclusionaryid postcoldwar l.loggdppc l.totalwars yrs yrs2 yrs3 if UCDPcivilwarongoing ==1  , cluster(ccode)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-137.55617}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-127.92331}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-117.44579}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-117.20034}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-117.17984}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-117.17972}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-117.17972}  
{res}
{txt}Logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}     1,415
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}10{txt}){col 67}= {res}     33.48
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0002
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-117.17972{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1481

{txt}{ralign 80:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:97} clusters in ccode)}
{hline 15}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 16}{c |}{col 28}    Robust
{col 1}       gponset{col 16}{c |}      Coef.{col 28}   Std. Err.{col 40}      z{col 48}   P>|z|{col 56}     [95% Con{col 69}f. Interval]
{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}outgroups {c |}
{space 11}L1. {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .0618908{col 28}{space 2} .0247551{col 39}{space 1}    2.50{col 48}{space 3}0.012{col 56}{space 4} .0133716{col 69}{space 3} .1104099
{txt}{space 14} {c |}
{space 5}democracy {c |}
{space 11}L1. {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.2025515{col 28}{space 2} .6211693{col 39}{space 1}   -0.33{col 48}{space 3}0.744{col 56}{space 4}-1.420021{col 69}{space 3} 1.014918
{txt}{space 14} {c |}
{space 2}minoritygovt {c |}
{space 11}L1. {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 1.172517{col 28}{space 2} .5143542{col 39}{space 1}    2.28{col 48}{space 3}0.023{col 56}{space 4} .1644009{col 69}{space 3} 2.180632
{txt}{space 14} {c |}
exclusionaryid {c |}
{space 11}L1. {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .3279861{col 28}{space 2} .5434605{col 39}{space 1}    0.60{col 48}{space 3}0.546{col 56}{space 4}-.7371769{col 69}{space 3} 1.393149
{txt}{space 14} {c |}
{space 3}postcoldwar {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-1.611105{col 28}{space 2} .5525726{col 39}{space 1}   -2.92{col 48}{space 3}0.004{col 56}{space 4}-2.694128{col 69}{space 3}-.5280827
{txt}{space 14} {c |}
{space 6}loggdppc {c |}
{space 11}L1. {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.4388469{col 28}{space 2} .2372572{col 39}{space 1}   -1.85{col 48}{space 3}0.064{col 56}{space 4}-.9038625{col 69}{space 3} .0261686
{txt}{space 14} {c |}
{space 5}totalwars {c |}
{space 11}L1. {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.3863893{col 28}{space 2} .2735073{col 39}{space 1}   -1.41{col 48}{space 3}0.158{col 56}{space 4}-.9224537{col 69}{space 3} .1496751
{txt}{space 14} {c |}
{space 11}yrs {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .2359536{col 28}{space 2} .0812268{col 39}{space 1}    2.90{col 48}{space 3}0.004{col 56}{space 4}  .076752{col 69}{space 3} .3951552
{txt}{space 10}yrs2 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.0056078{col 28}{space 2} .0026517{col 39}{space 1}   -2.11{col 48}{space 3}0.034{col 56}{space 4} -.010805{col 69}{space 3}-.0004107
{txt}{space 10}yrs3 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .0000319{col 28}{space 2}  .000032{col 39}{space 1}    1.00{col 48}{space 3}0.319{col 56}{space 4}-.0000308{col 69}{space 3} .0000947
{txt}{space 9}_cons {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-2.400516{col 28}{space 2} 1.773778{col 39}{space 1}   -1.35{col 48}{space 3}0.176{col 56}{space 4}-5.877057{col 69}{space 3} 1.076026
{txt}{hline 15}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. set seed 123456789
{txt}
{com}. estsimp logit gponset l.outgroups  l.democracy  l.minority  l.exclusionaryid postcoldwar l.loggdppc l.totalwars yrs yrs2 yrs3 if UCDPcivilwarongoing ==1  , cluster(ccode)

{txt}Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = {res}-137.55617
{txt}Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = {res}-127.92331
{txt}Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = {res} -118.1965
{txt}Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = {res}-117.25471
{txt}Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = {res}-117.18493
{txt}Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = {res}-117.17978
{txt}Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = {res}-117.17972

{txt}Logistic regression                               Number of obs   = {res}      1415
                                                  {txt}Wald chi2({res}10{txt})   = {res}     33.48
                                                  {txt}Prob > chi2     = {res}    0.0002
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-117.17972                 {txt}Pseudo R2       = {res}    0.1481

                                 {txt}(Std. Err. adjusted for {res}97{txt} clusters in ccode)
{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 64}
             {c |}               Robust
     gponset {c |}      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 64}
   outgroups {c |}
         L1. {c |}  {res} .0618908   .0247545     2.50   0.012     .0133728    .1104087
   {txt}democracy {c |}
         L1. {c |}  {res}-.2025515   .6211669    -0.33   0.744    -1.420016    1.014913
{txt}minoritygovt {c |}
         L1. {c |}  {res} 1.172517   .5143534     2.28   0.023     .1644025    2.180631
{txt}exclusiona~d {c |}
         L1. {c |}  {res} .3279861   .5434587     0.60   0.546    -.7371733    1.393145
 {txt}postcoldwar {c |}  {res}-1.611105   .5525728    -2.92   0.004    -2.694128   -.5280824
    {txt}loggdppc {c |}
         L1. {c |}  {res}-.4388469   .2372558    -1.85   0.064    -.9038597    .0261659
   {txt}totalwars {c |}
         L1. {c |}  {res}-.3863893   .2735074    -1.41   0.158     -.922454    .1496754
         {txt}yrs {c |}  {res} .2359536    .081228     2.90   0.004     .0767497    .3951576
        {txt}yrs2 {c |}  {res}-.0056078   .0026514    -2.12   0.034    -.0108046   -.0004111
        {txt}yrs3 {c |}  {res} .0000319    .000032     1.00   0.319    -.0000308    .0000947
       {txt}_cons {c |}  {res}-2.400516    1.77378    -1.35   0.176     -5.87706    1.076029
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 64}

{res}Simulating main parameters.  Please wait....
% of simulations completed: 9% 18% 27% 36% 45% 54% 63% 72% 81% 90% 100% 

Number of simulations  : 1000
Names of new variables : b1 b2 b3 b4 b5 b6 b7 b8 b9 b10 b11
{txt}
{com}. setx mean
{txt}
{com}. simqi, fd(pr) changex(l.outgroups min max)

{res}First Difference: l.outgroups min max

{txt}      Quantity of Interest |     Mean       Std. Err.    [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------+--------------------------------------------------
          dPr(gponset = 0) |  {res}-.1927483     .1593249    -.5976903   -.0089454
          {txt}dPr(gponset = 1) |  {res} .1927483     .1593249     .0089454    .5976903
{txt}
{com}. drop b1 b2 b3 b4 b5 b6 b7 b8 b9 b10 b11
{txt}
{com}. 
. *Model 7: using out-to-in ratio
. logit gponset c.l.outgroupratio  l.democracy  l.minority  l.exclusionaryid postcoldwar l.loggdppc l.totalwars yrs yrs2 yrs3 if UCDPcivilwarongoing ==1  , cluster(ccode)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-137.09267}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-127.23895}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-116.96186}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-116.66951}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-116.64498}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-116.64479}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-116.64479}  
{res}
{txt}Logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}     1,392
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}10{txt}){col 67}= {res}     32.55
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0003
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-116.64479{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1492

{txt}{ralign 80:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:90} clusters in ccode)}
{hline 15}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 16}{c |}{col 28}    Robust
{col 1}       gponset{col 16}{c |}      Coef.{col 28}   Std. Err.{col 40}      z{col 48}   P>|z|{col 56}     [95% Con{col 69}f. Interval]
{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 1}outgroupratio {c |}
{space 11}L1. {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .0743402{col 28}{space 2} .0287332{col 39}{space 1}    2.59{col 48}{space 3}0.010{col 56}{space 4} .0180242{col 69}{space 3} .1306563
{txt}{space 14} {c |}
{space 5}democracy {c |}
{space 11}L1. {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.1362069{col 28}{space 2} .5983304{col 39}{space 1}   -0.23{col 48}{space 3}0.820{col 56}{space 4}-1.308913{col 69}{space 3} 1.036499
{txt}{space 14} {c |}
{space 2}minoritygovt {c |}
{space 11}L1. {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 1.126102{col 28}{space 2}  .508337{col 39}{space 1}    2.22{col 48}{space 3}0.027{col 56}{space 4} .1297801{col 69}{space 3} 2.122425
{txt}{space 14} {c |}
exclusionaryid {c |}
{space 11}L1. {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .2862414{col 28}{space 2} .5502444{col 39}{space 1}    0.52{col 48}{space 3}0.603{col 56}{space 4}-.7922177{col 69}{space 3} 1.364701
{txt}{space 14} {c |}
{space 3}postcoldwar {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} -1.60084{col 28}{space 2} .5406086{col 39}{space 1}   -2.96{col 48}{space 3}0.003{col 56}{space 4}-2.660413{col 69}{space 3}-.5412668
{txt}{space 14} {c |}
{space 6}loggdppc {c |}
{space 11}L1. {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.4472628{col 28}{space 2} .2380117{col 39}{space 1}   -1.88{col 48}{space 3}0.060{col 56}{space 4}-.9137571{col 69}{space 3} .0192315
{txt}{space 14} {c |}
{space 5}totalwars {c |}
{space 11}L1. {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.4200966{col 28}{space 2} .2727487{col 39}{space 1}   -1.54{col 48}{space 3}0.124{col 56}{space 4}-.9546742{col 69}{space 3}  .114481
{txt}{space 14} {c |}
{space 11}yrs {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .2347653{col 28}{space 2} .0831745{col 39}{space 1}    2.82{col 48}{space 3}0.005{col 56}{space 4} .0717463{col 69}{space 3} .3977843
{txt}{space 10}yrs2 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.0053642{col 28}{space 2} .0027618{col 39}{space 1}   -1.94{col 48}{space 3}0.052{col 56}{space 4}-.0107772{col 69}{space 3} .0000487
{txt}{space 10}yrs3 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .0000276{col 28}{space 2} .0000339{col 39}{space 1}    0.82{col 48}{space 3}0.415{col 56}{space 4}-.0000388{col 69}{space 3}  .000094
{txt}{space 9}_cons {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-2.303458{col 28}{space 2} 1.775486{col 39}{space 1}   -1.30{col 48}{space 3}0.195{col 56}{space 4}-5.783347{col 69}{space 3}  1.17643
{txt}{hline 15}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. set seed 123456789
{txt}
{com}. estsimp logit gponset l.outgroupratio  l.democracy  l.minority  l.exclusionaryid postcoldwar l.loggdppc l.totalwars yrs yrs2 yrs3 if UCDPcivilwarongoing ==1  , cluster(ccode)

{txt}Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = {res}-137.09267
{txt}Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = {res}-127.23895
{txt}Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = {res}-117.71206
{txt}Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = {res}-116.73585
{txt}Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = {res}-116.65151
{txt}Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = {res}-116.64487
{txt}Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = {res}-116.64479

{txt}Logistic regression                               Number of obs   = {res}      1392
                                                  {txt}Wald chi2({res}10{txt})   = {res}     32.55
                                                  {txt}Prob > chi2     = {res}    0.0003
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-116.64479                 {txt}Pseudo R2       = {res}    0.1492

                                 {txt}(Std. Err. adjusted for {res}90{txt} clusters in ccode)
{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 64}
             {c |}               Robust
     gponset {c |}      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 64}
outgroupra~o {c |}
         L1. {c |}  {res} .0743402   .0287317     2.59   0.010     .0180272    .1306533
   {txt}democracy {c |}
         L1. {c |}  {res}-.1362069    .598328    -0.23   0.820    -1.308908    1.036494
{txt}minoritygovt {c |}
         L1. {c |}  {res} 1.126102   .5083361     2.22   0.027     .1297819    2.122423
{txt}exclusiona~d {c |}
         L1. {c |}  {res} .2862414   .5502406     0.52   0.603    -.7922104    1.364693
 {txt}postcoldwar {c |}  {res} -1.60084   .5406091    -2.96   0.003    -2.660415   -.5412658
    {txt}loggdppc {c |}
         L1. {c |}  {res}-.4472628   .2380098    -1.88   0.060    -.9137534    .0192279
   {txt}totalwars {c |}
         L1. {c |}  {res}-.4200966    .272749    -1.54   0.124    -.9546748    .1144816
         {txt}yrs {c |}  {res} .2347653   .0831755     2.82   0.005     .0717442    .3977863
        {txt}yrs2 {c |}  {res}-.0053642   .0027614    -1.94   0.052    -.0107766    .0000481
        {txt}yrs3 {c |}  {res} .0000276   .0000339     0.82   0.415    -.0000387     .000094
       {txt}_cons {c |}  {res}-2.303458   1.775489    -1.30   0.195    -5.783354    1.176437
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 64}

{res}Simulating main parameters.  Please wait....
% of simulations completed: 9% 18% 27% 36% 45% 54% 63% 72% 81% 90% 100% 

Number of simulations  : 1000
Names of new variables : b1 b2 b3 b4 b5 b6 b7 b8 b9 b10 b11
{txt}
{com}. setx mean
{txt}
{com}. simqi, fd(pr) changex(l.outgroupratio min max)

{res}First Difference: l.outgroupratio min max

{txt}      Quantity of Interest |     Mean       Std. Err.    [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------+--------------------------------------------------
          dPr(gponset = 0) |  {res}-.1166767     .0906279    -.3515377   -.0095377
          {txt}dPr(gponset = 1) |  {res} .1166767     .0906279     .0095377    .3515377
{txt}
{com}. drop b1 b2 b3 b4 b5 b6 b7 b8 b9 b10 b11
{txt}
{com}. 
. *Model 8: Excluded groups at start of war
. logit gponset c.l.logoutgroups_start  l.democracy  l.minority  l.exclusionaryid postcoldwar l.loggdppc l.totalwars yrs yrs2 yrs3 if UCDPcivilwarongoing ==1  , cluster(ccode)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-137.55617}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-127.91304}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-116.78429}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-116.56395}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-116.55299}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-116.55295}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-116.55295}  
{res}
{txt}Logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}     1,415
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}10{txt}){col 67}= {res}     31.99
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0004
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-116.55295{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1527

{txt}{ralign 84:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:97} clusters in ccode)}
{hline 19}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 20}{c |}{col 32}    Robust
{col 1}           gponset{col 20}{c |}      Coef.{col 32}   Std. Err.{col 44}      z{col 52}   P>|z|{col 60}     [95% Con{col 73}f. Interval]
{hline 19}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
logoutgroups_start {c |}
{space 15}L1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .6328661{col 32}{space 2} .2553496{col 43}{space 1}    2.48{col 52}{space 3}0.013{col 60}{space 4}   .13239{col 73}{space 3} 1.133342
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 9}democracy {c |}
{space 15}L1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.2104852{col 32}{space 2} .6090343{col 43}{space 1}   -0.35{col 52}{space 3}0.730{col 60}{space 4} -1.40417{col 73}{space 3}    .9832
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 6}minoritygovt {c |}
{space 15}L1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 1.093823{col 32}{space 2} .5047836{col 43}{space 1}    2.17{col 52}{space 3}0.030{col 60}{space 4} .1044651{col 73}{space 3} 2.083181
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 4}exclusionaryid {c |}
{space 15}L1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .2357502{col 32}{space 2} .5449839{col 43}{space 1}    0.43{col 52}{space 3}0.665{col 60}{space 4}-.8323987{col 73}{space 3} 1.303899
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 7}postcoldwar {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-1.665749{col 32}{space 2} .5890255{col 43}{space 1}   -2.83{col 52}{space 3}0.005{col 60}{space 4}-2.820218{col 73}{space 3}-.5112801
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 10}loggdppc {c |}
{space 15}L1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.3553974{col 32}{space 2} .2436752{col 43}{space 1}   -1.46{col 52}{space 3}0.145{col 60}{space 4} -.832992{col 73}{space 3} .1221971
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 9}totalwars {c |}
{space 15}L1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.4360557{col 32}{space 2} .2878948{col 43}{space 1}   -1.51{col 52}{space 3}0.130{col 60}{space 4}-1.000319{col 73}{space 3} .1282077
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 15}yrs {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}   .24929{col 32}{space 2} .0797773{col 43}{space 1}    3.12{col 52}{space 3}0.002{col 60}{space 4} .0929293{col 73}{space 3} .4056506
{txt}{space 14}yrs2 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0062444{col 32}{space 2} .0024616{col 43}{space 1}   -2.54{col 52}{space 3}0.011{col 60}{space 4} -.011069{col 73}{space 3}-.0014199
{txt}{space 14}yrs3 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0000404{col 32}{space 2} .0000268{col 43}{space 1}    1.51{col 52}{space 3}0.132{col 60}{space 4}-.0000122{col 73}{space 3}  .000093
{txt}{space 13}_cons {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-3.648574{col 32}{space 2} 1.760702{col 43}{space 1}   -2.07{col 52}{space 3}0.038{col 60}{space 4}-7.099488{col 73}{space 3} -.197661
{txt}{hline 19}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. set seed 123456789
{txt}
{com}. estsimp logit gponset l.logoutgroups_start  l.democracy  l.minority  l.exclusionaryid postcoldwar l.loggdppc l.totalwars yrs yrs2 yrs3 if UCDPcivilwarongoing ==1  , cluster(ccode)

{txt}Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = {res}-137.55617
{txt}Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = {res}-127.91304
{txt}Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = {res}-117.57492
{txt}Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = {res}-116.60801
{txt}Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = {res}-116.55527
{txt}Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = {res}-116.55297
{txt}Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = {res}-116.55295

{txt}Logistic regression                               Number of obs   = {res}      1415
                                                  {txt}Wald chi2({res}10{txt})   = {res}     31.99
                                                  {txt}Prob > chi2     = {res}    0.0004
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-116.55295                 {txt}Pseudo R2       = {res}    0.1527

                                 {txt}(Std. Err. adjusted for {res}97{txt} clusters in ccode)
{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 64}
             {c |}               Robust
     gponset {c |}      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 64}
logoutgrou~t {c |}
         L1. {c |}  {res} .6328661   .2553489     2.48   0.013     .1323914    1.133341
   {txt}democracy {c |}
         L1. {c |}  {res}-.2104852   .6090339    -0.35   0.730     -1.40417    .9831992
{txt}minoritygovt {c |}
         L1. {c |}  {res} 1.093823   .5047834     2.17   0.030     .1044655     2.08318
{txt}exclusiona~d {c |}
         L1. {c |}  {res} .2357502   .5449834     0.43   0.665    -.8323977    1.303898
 {txt}postcoldwar {c |}  {res}-1.665749   .5890254    -2.83   0.005    -2.820217   -.5112803
    {txt}loggdppc {c |}
         L1. {c |}  {res}-.3553974   .2436747    -1.46   0.145     -.832991    .1221961
   {txt}totalwars {c |}
         L1. {c |}  {res}-.4360557   .2878947    -1.51   0.130    -1.000319    .1282075
         {txt}yrs {c |}  {res}   .24929   .0797778     3.12   0.002     .0929283    .4056516
        {txt}yrs2 {c |}  {res}-.0062444   .0024615    -2.54   0.011     -.011069   -.0014199
        {txt}yrs3 {c |}  {res} .0000404   .0000268     1.51   0.132    -.0000122     .000093
       {txt}_cons {c |}  {res}-3.648574     1.7607    -2.07   0.038    -7.099483    -.197666
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 64}

{res}Simulating main parameters.  Please wait....
% of simulations completed: 9% 18% 27% 36% 45% 54% 63% 72% 81% 90% 100% 

Number of simulations  : 1000
Names of new variables : b1 b2 b3 b4 b5 b6 b7 b8 b9 b10 b11
{txt}
{com}. setx mean
{txt}
{com}. simqi, fd(pr) changex(l.logoutgroups_start min max)

{res}First Difference: l.logoutgroups_start min max

{txt}      Quantity of Interest |     Mean       Std. Err.    [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------+--------------------------------------------------
          dPr(gponset = 0) |  {res} -.046681     .0366834      -.13799   -.0043139
          {txt}dPr(gponset = 1) |  {res}  .046681     .0366834     .0043139      .13799
{txt}
{com}. drop b1 b2 b3 b4 b5 b6 b7 b8 b9 b10 b11
{txt}
{com}. 
. *Model 9: including peace years
. logit gponset c.l.logoutgroups  l.democracy  l.minority  l.exclusionaryid postcoldwar l.loggdppc l.totalwars  yrs yrs2 yrs3  , cluster(ccode)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -228.1289}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -205.7312}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-196.77571}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-195.98962}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-195.84169}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-195.83743}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-195.83743}  
{res}
{txt}Logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}     8,737
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}10{txt}){col 67}= {res}     81.62
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-195.83743{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1415

{txt}{ralign 80:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:154} clusters in ccode)}
{hline 15}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 16}{c |}{col 28}    Robust
{col 1}       gponset{col 16}{c |}      Coef.{col 28}   Std. Err.{col 40}      z{col 48}   P>|z|{col 56}     [95% Con{col 69}f. Interval]
{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 2}logoutgroups {c |}
{space 11}L1. {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}  .527541{col 28}{space 2}  .252228{col 39}{space 1}    2.09{col 48}{space 3}0.036{col 56}{space 4} .0331832{col 69}{space 3} 1.021899
{txt}{space 14} {c |}
{space 5}democracy {c |}
{space 11}L1. {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.3612936{col 28}{space 2} .4323219{col 39}{space 1}   -0.84{col 48}{space 3}0.403{col 56}{space 4}-1.208629{col 69}{space 3} .4860418
{txt}{space 14} {c |}
{space 2}minoritygovt {c |}
{space 11}L1. {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 1.032951{col 28}{space 2}  .358407{col 39}{space 1}    2.88{col 48}{space 3}0.004{col 56}{space 4} .3304867{col 69}{space 3} 1.735416
{txt}{space 14} {c |}
exclusionaryid {c |}
{space 11}L1. {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .6589574{col 28}{space 2} .3506921{col 39}{space 1}    1.88{col 48}{space 3}0.060{col 56}{space 4}-.0283864{col 69}{space 3} 1.346301
{txt}{space 14} {c |}
{space 3}postcoldwar {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.8924112{col 28}{space 2} .4389183{col 39}{space 1}   -2.03{col 48}{space 3}0.042{col 56}{space 4}-1.752675{col 69}{space 3}-.0321472
{txt}{space 14} {c |}
{space 6}loggdppc {c |}
{space 11}L1. {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} -.495405{col 28}{space 2} .2103609{col 39}{space 1}   -2.36{col 48}{space 3}0.019{col 56}{space 4}-.9077048{col 69}{space 3}-.0831052
{txt}{space 14} {c |}
{space 5}totalwars {c |}
{space 11}L1. {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .3354334{col 28}{space 2} .1415494{col 39}{space 1}    2.37{col 48}{space 3}0.018{col 56}{space 4} .0580018{col 69}{space 3} .6128651
{txt}{space 14} {c |}
{space 11}yrs {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.0447111{col 28}{space 2} .0996771{col 39}{space 1}   -0.45{col 48}{space 3}0.654{col 56}{space 4}-.2400747{col 69}{space 3} .1506525
{txt}{space 10}yrs2 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .0034128{col 28}{space 2} .0049655{col 39}{space 1}    0.69{col 48}{space 3}0.492{col 56}{space 4}-.0063194{col 69}{space 3}  .013145
{txt}{space 10}yrs3 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.0000563{col 28}{space 2} .0000702{col 39}{space 1}   -0.80{col 48}{space 3}0.423{col 56}{space 4}-.0001938{col 69}{space 3} .0000813
{txt}{space 9}_cons {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} -2.21251{col 28}{space 2} 2.039718{col 39}{space 1}   -1.08{col 48}{space 3}0.278{col 56}{space 4}-6.210284{col 69}{space 3} 1.785264
{txt}{hline 15}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. set seed 123456789
{txt}
{com}. estsimp logit gponset l.logoutgroups  l.democracy  l.minority  l.exclusionaryid postcoldwar l.loggdppc l.totalwars  yrs yrs2 yrs3  , cluster(ccode)

{txt}Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = {res} -228.1289
{txt}Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = {res} -205.7312
{txt}Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = {res} -198.0432
{txt}Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = {res}-196.39765
{txt}Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = {res}-195.97668
{txt}Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = {res}-195.85082
{txt}Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = {res}-195.83758
{txt}Iteration 7:   log pseudolikelihood = {res}-195.83743
{txt}Iteration 8:   log pseudolikelihood = {res}-195.83743

{txt}Logistic regression                               Number of obs   = {res}      8737
                                                  {txt}Wald chi2({res}10{txt})   = {res}     81.62
                                                  {txt}Prob > chi2     = {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-195.83743                 {txt}Pseudo R2       = {res}    0.1415

                                {txt}(Std. Err. adjusted for {res}154{txt} clusters in ccode)
{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 64}
             {c |}               Robust
     gponset {c |}      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 64}
logoutgroups {c |}
         L1. {c |}  {res}  .527541    .252228     2.09   0.036     .0331832    1.021899
   {txt}democracy {c |}
         L1. {c |}  {res}-.3612936   .4323219    -0.84   0.403    -1.208629    .4860418
{txt}minoritygovt {c |}
         L1. {c |}  {res} 1.032951    .358407     2.88   0.004     .3304867    1.735416
{txt}exclusiona~d {c |}
         L1. {c |}  {res} .6589574   .3506921     1.88   0.060    -.0283864    1.346301
 {txt}postcoldwar {c |}  {res}-.8924112   .4389183    -2.03   0.042    -1.752675   -.0321472
    {txt}loggdppc {c |}
         L1. {c |}  {res} -.495405   .2103609    -2.36   0.019    -.9077048   -.0831052
   {txt}totalwars {c |}
         L1. {c |}  {res} .3354334   .1415494     2.37   0.018     .0580018    .6128651
         {txt}yrs {c |}  {res}-.0447111   .0996771    -0.45   0.654    -.2400747    .1506525
        {txt}yrs2 {c |}  {res} .0034128   .0049655     0.69   0.492    -.0063194     .013145
        {txt}yrs3 {c |}  {res}-.0000563   .0000702    -0.80   0.423    -.0001938    .0000813
       {txt}_cons {c |}  {res} -2.21251   2.039718    -1.08   0.278    -6.210284    1.785264
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 64}

{res}Simulating main parameters.  Please wait....
% of simulations completed: 9% 18% 27% 36% 45% 54% 63% 72% 81% 90% 100% 

Number of simulations  : 1000
Names of new variables : b1 b2 b3 b4 b5 b6 b7 b8 b9 b10 b11
{txt}
{com}. setx mean
{txt}
{com}. simqi, fd(pr) changex(l.logoutgroups min max)

{res}First Difference: l.logoutgroups min max

{txt}      Quantity of Interest |     Mean       Std. Err.    [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------+--------------------------------------------------
          dPr(gponset = 0) |  {res}-.0091363     .0165871    -.0424354   -.0000142
          {txt}dPr(gponset = 1) |  {res} .0091363     .0165871     .0000142    .0424354
{txt}
{com}. drop b1 b2 b3 b4 b5 b6 b7 b8 b9 b10 
{txt}
{com}. 
{txt}end of do-file

{com}. 
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. log close
      {txt}name:  {res}<unnamed>
       {txt}log:  {res}C:\Users\guzonyi\Desktop\ISQ Final\UzonyiDemir_ExcludedGroupsGenocide.smcl
  {txt}log type:  {res}smcl
 {txt}closed on:  {res}20 Jul 2020, 14:32:00
{txt}{.-}
{smcl}
{txt}{sf}{ul off}